Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.488362 0.557341 0.629249 0.709522 0.796350 0.887166 0.989062
2024-12-15 0.411352 0.510855 0.620132 0.747932 0.892194 1.048951 1.231113
2024-12-22 0.333607 0.450745 0.586060 0.751275 0.944958 1.162387 1.422479
2024-12-29 0.291247 0.424599 0.585641 0.789523 1.035980 1.319825 1.666973
2025-01-05 0.243167 0.384188 0.562467 0.796416 1.087652 1.431172 1.859869
2025-01-12 0.204029 0.349362 0.541474 0.802193 1.135532 1.537111 2.047120
2025-01-19 0.176910 0.326708 0.532976 0.821335 1.198555 1.661136 2.257168
2025-01-26 0.156193 0.310020 0.530045 0.845970 1.267654 1.792736 2.477664
2025-02-02 0.138277 0.294808 0.527103 0.869123 1.334157 1.921278 2.695562
2025-02-09 0.116196 0.269561 0.507006 0.866528 1.365302 2.004414 2.857083
2025-02-16 0.101413 0.254101 0.499562 0.880268 1.417456 2.114284 3.052810
2025-02-23 0.085084 0.233146 0.481511 0.877005 1.445293 2.192077 3.207902
2025-03-02 0.066777 0.205352 0.450449 0.853288 1.444593 2.233323 3.318383
2025-03-09 0.057858 0.194485 0.445872 0.868571 1.498408 2.347286 3.524173
2025-03-16 0.045987 0.174597 0.423911 0.855497 1.510758 2.405262 3.657189
2025-03-23 0.041723 0.171181 0.430333 0.886815 1.587540 2.551214 3.907294
2025-03-30 0.034381 0.158404 0.418502 0.887997 1.619761 2.636379 4.077566
2025-04-06 0.028277 0.147045 0.408019 0.890414 1.653272 2.723249 4.250568
2025-04-13 0.024502 0.141124 0.407293 0.908605 1.710365 2.843187 4.468742
2025-04-20 0.021756 0.137513 0.410676 0.933515 1.777730 2.977912 4.707712
2025-04-27 0.019230 0.133841 0.413517 0.957352 1.843640 3.111137 4.945663
2025-05-04 0.015217 0.123393 0.401156 0.954053 1.867350 3.184712 5.102964
2025-05-11 0.012845 0.118024 0.399031 0.968376 1.918357 3.297332 5.314226